P PGR

Progressive Corp

INSURANCE - PROPERTY & CASUALTY · FINANCIAL SERVICES

The Progressive Corporation (PGR) is a prominent leader in the U.S. insurance sector, recognized as one of the nation's largest auto insurers. Beyond its core auto insurance business, Progressive offers a diverse range of products, including motorcycle, boat, recreational vehicle, and homeowners ins...

$195.25

+1.03% (+$1.99)

Volume 2.18M

52W High $272.27

52W Low $192.02

Market Cap $155.62B

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What to Watch This Quarter

Based on historical data

Consensus EPS

$4.44

Whisper EPS

$4.50

1.4% above consensus

Last Quarter

$4.67

Current Streak

1 Beat

Avg Surprise (4Q)

-3.47%

Next Earnings Report

Reports in 2 days

Report Date Apr 9, 2026

Whisper Spread +1.44%

Consensus Estimate

$4.44

Official analyst average

Whisper Number

$4.50

What traders expect

Bullish Sentiment: The whisper number is 1.4% above consensus, suggesting traders expect a strong beat. The stock may be priced for upside surprise.

Price Chart

EPS History: Consensus vs Actual

Last 12 quarters

Price Movement Around Earnings

Q4 2025 Jan 28, 2026

1-Day: -2.11%

5-Day: -4.56%

Q3 2025 Oct 15, 2025

1-Day: -2.10%

5-Day: -3.14%

Q2 2025 Jul 16, 2025

1-Day: +0.33%

5-Day: -0.54%

Q1 2025 Apr 16, 2025

1-Day: -3.52%

5-Day: -6.44%

Revenue & Financial Performance

Revenue Whisper

$23.36B

TWN Proprietary Estimate

Last Quarter Revenue

$22.74B

+12.2% YoY

Gross Margin

29.3%

Net Margin: 13.0%

Quarter	Revenue	YoY Growth	Gross Margin	Op Margin	Net Income
Q4'25	$22.74B	+12.2%	29.3%	16.2%	$2.95B
Q3'25	$22.51B	+14.2%	15.8%	14.8%	$2.62B
Q2'25	$22.00B	+21.3%	31.3%	18.1%	$3.18B
Q1'25	$20.40B	+18.4%	30.1%	15.9%	$2.57B
Q4'24	$20.27B	+20.0%	28.8%	14.6%	$2.36B
Q3'24	$19.72B	+26.8%	100.0%	15.3%	$2.33B
Q2'24	$18.13B	+18.1%	23.3%	10.3%	$1.46B
Q1'24	$17.24B	+20.6%	29.2%	17.1%	$2.33B

Historical Earnings

Last 12 quarters

Quarter	Date	Consensus	Whisper	Actual EPS	Surprise %	Result
Q4 2025	Jan 28, 2026	$4.43	$4.60	$4.67	+5.38%	Beat
Q3 2025	Oct 15, 2025	$4.62	$4.83	$4.05	-12.31%	Missed
Q2 2025	Jul 16, 2025	$4.40	$4.64	$4.88	+10.91%	Beat
Q1 2025	Apr 16, 2025	$4.75	$5.16	$4.65	-2.11%	Missed
Q4 2024	Feb 24, 2025	$3.23	$3.49	$4.08	+26.32%	Beat
Q3 2024	Nov 15, 2024	$3.64	$4.04	$3.59	-1.37%	Missed
Q2 2024	Sep 13, 2024	$2.01	$2.14	$2.65	+31.84%	Beat
Q1 2024	Apr 12, 2024	$3.21	$3.20	$3.75	+16.82%	Beat
Q4 2023	Jan 24, 2024	$2.39	$2.32	$2.97	+24.27%	Beat
Q3 2023	Oct 13, 2023	$1.72	$1.54	$2.09	+21.51%	Beat
Q2 2023	Jul 13, 2023	$0.87	$0.81	$0.79	-9.20%	Missed
Q1 2023	Apr 13, 2023	$1.37	$1.33	$0.63	-54.01%	Missed