M MSDL

Morgan Stanley Direct Lending Fund

$14.30

+1.20% (+$0.17)

Volume 453,106

52W High $20.45

52W Low $13.66

Market Cap $1.36B

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What to Watch This Quarter

Based on historical data

Consensus EPS

$0.52

Whisper EPS

$0.47

10.2% below consensus

Last Quarter

$0.49

Current Streak

6 Misss

Avg Surprise (4Q)

-22.02%

Next Earnings Report

Reports in 30 days

Report Date May 7, 2026

Whisper Spread -10.15%

Consensus Estimate

$0.52

Official analyst average

Whisper Number

$0.47

What traders expect

Cautious Sentiment: The whisper number is 10.2% below consensus, suggesting traders are skeptical. Meeting consensus may not be enough to satisfy the market.

Price Chart

EPS History: Consensus vs Actual

Last 9 quarters

Price Movement Around Earnings

Q4 2025 Feb 26, 2026

1-Day: -4.33%

5-Day: -5.75%

Q3 2025 Nov 6, 2025

1-Day: -0.96%

5-Day: +0.48%

Q2 2025 Aug 7, 2025

1-Day: -1.54%

5-Day: -2.26%

Q1 2025 May 8, 2025

1-Day: -3.43%

5-Day: +1.77%

Revenue & Financial Performance

Revenue Whisper

$120.0M

TWN Proprietary Estimate

Last Quarter Revenue

$194.1M

+131.0% YoY

Gross Margin

--

Net Margin: 22.7%

Quarter	Revenue	YoY Growth	Gross Margin	Op Margin	Net Income
Q4'25	$194.1M	+131.0%	--	--	$44.0M
Q3'25	$64.7M	-23.9%	47.6%	43.3%	$27.6M
Q2'25	$73.0M	-16.0%	52.5%	49.7%	$36.1M
Q1'25	$65.4M	-14.5%	47.8%	46.3%	$29.7M
Q4'24	$84.0M	+1.4%	60.5%	62.6%	$51.6M
Q3'24	$85.0M	-14.0%	61.0%	63.2%	$53.2M
Q2'24	$86.9M	+8.7%	66.3%	68.5%	$59.0M
Q1'24	$76.6M	+15.1%	64.4%	68.1%	$51.7M

Historical Earnings

Last 12 quarters

Quarter	Date	Consensus	Whisper	Actual EPS	Surprise %	Result
Q4 2025	Feb 26, 2026	$0.52	$0.44	$0.49	-5.77%	Beat
Q3 2025	Nov 6, 2025	$0.52	$0.48	$0.32	-38.46%	Missed
Q2 2025	Aug 7, 2025	$0.53	$0.50	$0.50	-5.66%	Met
Q1 2025	May 8, 2025	$0.55	$0.55	$0.34	-38.18%	Missed
Q4 2024	Feb 27, 2025	$0.60	$0.61	$0.58	-3.33%	Missed
Q3 2024	Nov 7, 2024	$0.61	$0.61	$0.60	-1.64%	Missed
Q2 2024	Aug 8, 2024	$0.62	$0.62	$0.63	+1.61%	Beat
Q1 2024	May 9, 2024	$0.65	$0.67	$0.63	-3.08%	Missed
Q4 2023	Mar 1, 2024	$0.66	$0.66	$0.67	+1.52%	Beat